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A war of the oil refineries has opened. Israel bombed an oil depot in southern Tehran. Hours later Iran's IRGC struck Israel's Haifa refinery in direct retaliation. Massive fireballs erupted above Tehran as a major refinery was hit. Saudi Arabia intercepted a ballistic missile aimed at an air base housing US military personnel. Dubai airport, the busiest international hub on earth, suspended all operations again Saturday after an aerial interception in the area. The IRGC struck the oil tanker Prima as it attempted to cross the Strait of Hormuz. US crude surged 35.63 percent this week, the largest weekly gain in the history of the futures contract dating back to 1983. Oil volatility hit 103, a level seen only twice before. The reason this matters to every person reading this is simple. Oil is not just fuel. Oil is fertilizer. Oil is transportation. Oil is plastic. Oil is the packaging around your food, the truck that delivers it, the tractor that grows it, and the heat that keeps your house warm. When the price of oil experiences its largest weekly surge in 43 years of recorded history, everything in your life that depends on oil gets more expensive. And everything in your life depends on oil.

Here is what the people running this war knew and chose to ignore. A classified National Intelligence Council assessment completed roughly one week before the first bomb fell concluded that even a massive military assault on Iran is unlikely to topple the Islamic Republic. The report found that Tehran has long established clear succession protocols designed to maintain continuity of power even if senior leaders are killed. US intelligence analysts assessed that the country's fragmented opposition movements remain too divided to seize control. The NIC synthesizes the analytical work of all 18 US intelligence agencies. The White House has not said whether Trump was briefed on this assessment before approving the operation. Suzanne Maloney of the Brookings Institution said there is no other force within Iran that can confront the remaining power the regime has. The IRGC activated autonomous chains of command after Khamenei's death so that decapitation strikes would not disrupt retaliation. That retaliation has now killed 6 American service members. Three F 15s were downed by friendly fire over Kuwait. The bodies of the fallen arrived at Dover Air Force Base Saturday. Trump attended the transfer ceremony then posted on Truth Social that Iran will be hit very hard today and that new targets are under consideration including areas and groups of people that were not considered for targeting before. He said there will be no deal except unconditional surrender. Iran's President Pezeshkian responded that Iran's enemies must take their wish for unconditional surrender to their graves. In Lebanon 217 people have been killed and 300,000 displaced since Israeli strikes intensified. This is the second week of a war that the intelligence community's own assessment said would not achieve its stated objectives.

Hong Kong is now positioning itself to replace Dubai as the world's gold trading center. Airport Authority Hong Kong and financial institutions are building facilities to lift total storage capacity to more than 2,000 tonnes within 3 years. A third refinery, mainland backed Point Gold International, begins operations in October. Industry figures told the South China Morning Post that wealthy investors are reconsidering their exposure to the Middle East. Hong Kong offers yuan denominated gold trading, deep capital markets, and no war. This is the parallel financial infrastructure I have been documenting since January. Issue after issue I wrote about China building gold clearing systems, expanding Hainan duty free gold sales, deepening Hong Kong Shanghai Gold Exchange alignment. Every step was preparation for this moment. Dubai handled 20 percent of global bullion flows. Now flights are grounded, ports are damaged, and the world's busiest international airport cannot stay open for a full day. The gold does not stop existing. It moves. It moves to the infrastructure that was built to receive it while everyone else was watching the negotiations that the intelligence community now confirms were always theater. Every ounce that shifts from Dubai to Hong Kong is another vote of no confidence in the dollar system that funded this war.

"Seven weeks ago I wrote the first issue documenting carrier movements toward Iran. I wrote that the talks were designed to fail. I wrote that gold was confirming what currencies were denying. I wrote about China building parallel financial systems while the empire printed money to fund wars it could not afford. Every issue connected the same threads. Carriers. Embassies. AI weapons. Nuclear treaties. Infrastructure collapse. Currency debasement. Trust at historic lows. Now in the second week of the war every thread has converged into a single undeniable picture. The intelligence community's own classified assessment said this war would not achieve its objectives. The administration launched it anyway. Oil just recorded its largest weekly surge in 43 years. Gold infrastructure is physically relocating from the Middle East to Asia. Six American service members are dead and the president is expanding targets while demanding unconditional surrender from a nation of 88 million whose intelligence agencies say cannot be toppled by air power. Austrian economists warned that governments which fund wars through currency debasement destroy the purchasing power of every citizen who holds that currency. The printing press that will fund this war is the same press that has been destroying the dollar for decades. The math does not change because the war is popular or unpopular. The math does not change because the president declares victory on social media. The math changes when the currency dies. And every indicator I have tracked for 7 weeks says the currency is dying faster than it was before the first bomb fell. Prepare accordingly."

Alex Simm
Head Editor
WeLovePrepping

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A Klimt painting sold for $236 million—the most expensive modern artwork ever sold at auction.

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_{*According to Masterworks data.  Investing involves risk. Past performance not indicative of future returns. See important disclosures at masterworks.com/cd.}