🥫 China And Philippines Poking

December 15, 2025

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Three Minute Prepper - China And Philippines Poking

China accused Philippines of premeditated provocations near Sabina Shoal in South China Sea. Philippine fishing boats were targeted with water cannons by Chinese coastguard ships. Three Filipino fishermen got injured and two boats were damaged. China said Philippine personnel threatened Chinese officers with knives. The US condemned China's actions and stands with Philippine allies. When coastguard vessels fire water cannons at fishing boats while both nations claim the same waters, those disputes are not getting resolved through talking. They are building toward armed conflict over territory that determines who controls strategic sea lanes.

Scotiabank says gold rally has room to run despite 64 percent gains this year. The bank listed six reasons: US debt at $37.6 trillion and climbing, crypto demand with Tether hoarding over 120 tons of gold, Fed independence risks, trade wars, weaker dollar, and historical precedent showing gold can rise 6 fold like it did in the 1970s. Gold equities are trading at 7 times forward earnings versus over 10 times in 2010 and 2011. Americans remain underweight gold despite recommendations from major banks. When investment banks publish reports listing six reasons gold will keep climbing despite already massive gains, they are telling clients the system is breaking. Physical assets win when paper fails.

US companies Niron Magnetics and Moog are partnering to develop rare earth free magnets for guided munitions. Niron's magnets use iron salts, nitrogen, and ammonia instead of rare earth minerals. China controls over 90 percent of magnet processing worldwide. The partnership aims to reduce US dependence on Chinese supply chains for critical weapons components. When defense contractors urgently develop alternatives to Chinese controlled materials for missiles, that confirms supply chains are being weaponized. Wars get fought with whatever materials you can produce domestically when imports stop.

The percentage of US adults dealing with depression has nearly doubled since 2015. Now 18.3 percent of adults are currently suffering, about 47.8 million Americans. Roughly 42 percent of Gen Z has been diagnosed with mental health conditions and 60 percent take medication. About 48.5 million Americans have substance use disorders. An American now dies by suicide every 11 minutes. The suicide rate for young adults aged 18 to 27 jumped 20 percent from 2014 to 2024. When half the population suffers mental illness while young adults kill themselves at record rates, the society is collapsing from within before external threats arrive.

Ukraine diplomacy is going nowhere according to analyst John Mearsheimer. Zelensky dropped the NATO membership demand but now wants Article 5 style security guarantees instead. Russian and Ukrainian demands remain completely at odds. There is no evidence Russia accepted Trump's 27 point plan. Mearsheimer says diplomacy only becomes relevant when major battlefield developments force both sides to negotiate. When analysts who predicted the war explain that neither side will compromise, the conflict continues until someone loses decisively. Previous issues explained ceasefires without defeated enemies just create windows for rearming. Now experts confirm no real peace is possible.

Connect every development. China fires water cannons at fishing boats in disputed seas. Investment banks list six reasons gold keeps climbing despite huge gains. Defense contractors urgently develop alternatives to Chinese controlled weapons materials. Half of Americans suffer mental illness while young adults kill themselves at record rates. Ukraine diplomacy fails because neither side will compromise. Every signal points the same direction. When territorial disputes escalate to violence, when banks recommend physical assets despite massive rallies, when military supply chains get diversified away from adversaries, when populations collapse mentally, and when wars cannot be negotiated to end, the system is breaking down on every level simultaneously. Those who stacked physical assets, built resilience outside failing systems, prepared for supply chain breakdowns, and understood that societies collapse before wars finish them off were not being paranoid. They were preparing for convergence of crises now arriving together. When fishing disputes turn violent, when banks say buy more gold, when weapons need new supply chains, when half the country is mentally ill, and when wars cannot end through talks, preparation is not optional. It is baseline survival requirement.

Stay prepared,

Alex Simm

P.S.
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